Over on the neuwal website there is a useful comparison of the two opinion polls this week that have presented very different views on the strength of the Far-Right FPÖ. In the Gallup survey (sample of 400) the FPÖ have moved into first place (28%), a one point ahead of the SPÖ (Social Democrats). But in the IMAS poll published two days earlier (sample of 1100) the FPÖ have fallen back into third place (21%) behind the conservative ÖVP (24%) and the SPÖ (28%).
The two polls also differ on the fortunes of Austria’s other right wing party the BZÖ (the more ‘moderate’ Far-Right or Right Wing Conservative party – take your pick). Gallup show them below the 4% threshold required to secure seats in parliament on 3%, while IMAS gives the Party one of their best ratings in recent months at 7%.
Both polls agree that the Greens are currently on 14%.
Below is my updated sate of the Parties table based upon an average of the last five polls I’ve seen: