A large poll (sample 1800) published today on the krone.at site shows a significant loss of support for the FPÖ in Vienna, the party’s last power base after its electoral catastrophe in the State election in Kärnten.
The decline of the FPÖ vote will probably be considered in the context of the rise of the new challenger on the right of Austrian politics, the right of centre, Team Stronach (TS). However, a poll last year showed that amongst young voters (19yrs and under) the FPÖ had lost support and that the Greens (centre-left) were now the largest party amongst this age group in Vienna. The particularly bad news for the FPÖ may be that they have yet to see the effect of TS on their vote here. Moreover, they will be worried that the Vienna SPÖ (Social Democrats) may at the next election repeat the success of their party in Kärnten and also take a significant chunk of previously FPÖ supporting voters.
The poll shows the red-green Vienna governing coalition holding steady, with the SPÖ remaining by far the largest party and the Greens vote up. TS support is below their current average national poll rating and the ÖVP (conservative) has managed to arrest its decline in the city:
SPÖ – 42% (-2); FPÖ – 20% (-6), Greens – 16% (+3.5); ÖVP 13% (-0.5); TS 7% (n/a)
Note: Brackets denote change since last Vienna State election.