Tag Archives: Salzburg State Election

Greens advance as SPÖ takes a hammering in Salzburg


The provision results for Salzburg State give the Greens an election night to remember, their 19.9% is higher than any of the opinion poll predictions. Those same polls failed to anticipate the scale of the SPÖ crash.

The figures at the time of writing are:

ÖVP 29.2% (-7.3%), SPÖ 23.6 (-15.8%), Greens 19.9% (+12.5%), FPÖ 17.3% (+4.3), Team Stronach 8.4% (+8.4%)

 

So what does this mean for the Parties?

It’s extremely good news for the Greens. They are now the third largest party in the State, have advanced in all four of this year’s State elections, and have in Salzburg exceeded their current national polling average figure.

As the lead partner in the outgoing State government the SPÖ were always likely to suffer at the ballot box, but the polls had suggested that they would secure something in the high 20’s. This is a bad night for the Social Democrats but it’s also marks three out of four State elections where the Party has lost support – the exception being the big win in Kärnten.

The Far-Right FPÖ have seen their vote go up this evening, on the face of it they too are winners. However, a year ago this result would have looked poor as they would have expected to scoop up the votes wanting to punish the SPÖ and ÖVP for the financial scandal. Tonight is the first of the four State elections this year in which their vote hasn’t dropped is the only real comfort for a party that is now only the fourth strongest in Salzburg and whose national support has tumbled in the 15 months.

Oddly, the ‘winner’ tonight doesn’t have that much to cheer about. The ÖVP may now be the largest party in the State but they lost 7.3% points from an already historic low. The Party has topped the poll in three out of four States this year but in all four elections its support has declined.

Finally, the party of Austro-Canadian billionaire Frank Stronach, ‘Team Stronach’, will be pleased to have secured seats in the parliament – something they failed to do last week in Tirol. However, in three State elections this new Right of Centre Populist party has failed to achieve the 10% it is currently recording as its national poll average. Frank may need a new business plan before the general election in September.

 

 

Current national average ratings based upon last five polls:

SPÖ: 27.2%,  ÖVP: 24.6%,  FPÖ 18.8%,  Greens 13.6%,  Team Stronach: 9.8%,  BZÖ 2.0%,  Others 4.0%

Percentage variation across last five polls:

SPÖ: 27%-28%, ÖVP: 24%-25%, FPÖ 18%-19%, Greens 13%-14%, Team Stronach: 9%-10%, BZÖ 1%-4%

Sources:

Karmasin/profil 20-04-13
Gallup/oe24 19-04-13
IMAS/krone 06-04-13
Gallup/oe24 06-04-13
Karmasin/heute 04-04-13

 

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Filed under Austrian Politics, Politics

A joint platform for liberal forces in Salzburg State election….and maybe beyond?


A report here in the Salzburger Fenster (Google translate works ok) suggests that NEOS could make its first foray in the State elections in Salzburg later this year, in alliance with LIF (Liberal Forum).

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As the article includes direct statements from both Matthias Strolz (NEOS Party Leader) and Günter Eckerstorfer (LIF State Co-ordinator) it seems that following an Assembly on 7th February the two parties are likely to form a joint platform. I have read a number of statements in the press regarding discussion about an electoral alliance for the General Election (due in September 2013) and this looks to be the forerunner for such an initiative.

For NEOS, which was only formed last October, the State elections to be held on 3rd March in both Kärnten and Lower Austria came too soon. However, Salzburg could provide exactly the profile boost and momentum to launch them (and any potential alliance) into the General Election. The Party is aiming to secure 10% in the General Election, well above the 4% hurdle needed to enter the parliament.

Austrian Pirate Party

The article also highlights that the Austrian Pirate Party (another newcomer formed early last year) will be competing in Salzburg as well as Kärnten State elections. They had success in securing a seat in the city election in Graz last year and will hope to repeat the achievement in both States. The Party is currently averaging 1.4% in national opinion polls but polling evidence suggests that they have a potential to secure up to 6%.

(Note the article talks about Pirate success in Innsbruck but this relates to an expelled group of Pirates: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pirate_Party_of_Austria).

 

Further information:

It will have to be a big tent…hence NEOS

Today a new liberal party takes to the stage

Will the greens leave behind their voters for Neos to scoop up?

http://neos.eu/

http://liberale.at/

http://www.piratenpartei.at/

 

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Filed under Austrian Politics, Liberal Politics, Politics